NBR

What’s Greek to us

Greece is in major debt and the ancient country is facing some very modern problems trying to get out. As a newer member of the eurozone, the European countries who have adopted the euro as their one currency, more financially stable nations like Germany and France are nervous about the implications coming to Greece’s aid.

NewsHour’s Judy Woodruff spoke with Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou about what his country needs from the U.S. and how Greece got into its current financial situation.

Marketplace commentator David Frum of the American Enterprise Institute falls on the side of questioning the expansion of the eurozone. He notes that the weaker countries in the eurozone are making sacrifices to stay in the club, and this approach will not help them succeed in the long run.

These governments — and others in Europe — are accepting higher unemployment in order to defend their currency…And yet, while Spain’s socialist government has seen its poll numbers drop, neither Spain, nor Greece, nor Portugal, nor Ireland is experiencing serious public pressure to quit the euro.To the leaders of these countries, the euro means Europe, and Europe means prosperity, stability, democracy, and peace.

How will the Greek crisis affect your investments here in the U.S.? Nightly Business Report spoke with foreign exchange experts on why investors here should care.

Standard & Poors analyst Alec Young:
Europe and the UK represent about two thirds of overseas market capitalizations. So anybody that owns an international mutual fund or an international ETF, there’s a very good chance, if it’s broadly diversified, that they do have significant exposure to Europe and to the UK.

Some experts say that while Greece is having trouble and there is a threat to other struggling eurozone nations, the fears about the global economy’s stability as a whole are secondary.

NPR’s Corey Flintoff spoke with economist Joseph Stiglitz:

The Greek crisis has contributed to the general air of uncertainty in international financial markets… Greece is one of five euro zone countries now struggling with big national debts. “The major implications are for Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland and therefore in some sense for all of Europe,” says Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize-winning economist at Columbia University.
The problems in the euro zone could impact the U.S., too, Stiglitz says, especially if they dampen sales of U.S. exports to Europe.

Also posted in Econstory, Marketplace: Multimedia Series, NPR: Aggregated Local News Feed, NPR: Local/National Collaboration, NewsHour: Economic Patchwork Map, PBS: Video | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Paying for disaster

Relief workers in Concepcion, Chile. Credit: Flickr/Globovision

Relief workers in Concepcion, Chile. Credit: Flickr/Globovision

Chile and Haiti suffered similar massive earthquakes, but the aftermath and impact of the disasters couldn’t be more different.

Chile’s much more economically developed than Haiti and has made huge progress over the past 20 years, which partially contributed to limiting the country’s death toll after the earthquake. So recovery, as Marketplace’s Tess Vigeland reports, will be focused (after human relief) on not losing the economic gains in areas like natural resource developments and infrastructure improvements. She spoke with Kevin Casas-Zamora, of the Brookings Institution:

Vigeland: You mentioned that there’s been a lot of economic growth in Chile. How much of that do you know went into infrastructure that perhaps contributed to the death toll not being greater?

Casas-Zamora: I think why the death toll was as low as it has been given the magnitude of the tragedy, it ultimately has to do with development in general. The glaring comparison between Chile and Haiti showcases very well why development matters. And it matters because it saves hundreds of thousands of lives.

Vigeland: What do you think the rest of the world, other governments, are taking away from how Chile has handled this crisis thus far?

Casas-Zamora: My sense is that the most remarkable aspect of all this is that it comes in the wake of the earthquake in Haiti. And the contrast couldn’t be greater. Really, in Chile what we’re witnessing is a state that works, whereas in Haiti the most glaring absence in the immediate aftermath of the earthquake was of a state at all. I mean it was sort of a phantom state. Whereas in the case of Chile, you can definitely see what a difference a functioning state makes when a disaster such as this one strikes.

The effect of the earthquake on Chile’s natural resources business is a major concern. Nightly Business Report’s Terri Cullen reports:

The location of the disaster can inflate commodities prices as well. For example, Chile is the world’s largest copper producer. The quake briefly sent the price of copper soaring to a seven-week high, before settling back on word the country’s biggest mines are undamaged. Oil prices also rose after Chile’s government said the quake disrupted oil production in the country, so it would need to import more fuel.

The threat of escalating inflation and the loss of human productivity will no doubt hamper economic growth in Chile and Haiti in the months, and perhaps years, to come. But the rebuilding and recovery effort could potentially wind up helping the economy in the long run.

Haiti’s economic status isn’t the only reason the quake there was so much more devastating than Chile’s. Other factors, including a direct hit to the capital city, and that Haiti hasn’t been an earthquake-prone area, also contributed to a greater impact in the Caribbean nation.

But it’s not a contest. Both countries have much rebuilding to do and “donor fatigue” is a real issue. The Christian Science Monitor compares the giving to both countries so far. After the 2004 Asian tsunami, NPR published this guide to giving wisely and advice how citizens can assist both ongoing causes and the cause-du-jour.

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A year of recovery

This morning, President Obama marked a year since signing the Economic Recovery Act. So has the stimulus package worked? Here are just a few examples from EconomyStory’s partners examining the industries and projects that have benefited the most, and areas of the country that are still waiting for their funding to arrive:

Propublica’s Eye on Stimulus looks at opinions from the left and the right about the package’s successes and failures, and provides tools to check up on projects in your local area.

Has the stimulus lived up to its promise? As we’ve reported before … where you stand depends on where you sit.

The White House is marking today’s anniversary with a stimulus progress report [2] (PDF), which claims the Recovery Act has created or saved 2 million jobs; extended unemployment benefits for almost 20 million Americans; and cut taxes for more than 95 percent of working families. The administration says that by the end of last month, the combination of tax cuts and obligated funds came to a total of $453 billion.

Dante Chinni at NewsHour’s Patchwork Nation reports on what types of communities have gotten the most out of the stimulus package.

NPR features snapshots from around the country of various stimulus projects, including health care facilities in West Virginia, and a jobs program for young people in Washington, DC.

Nightly Business Report answers pressing questions about the extension of TARP benefits.

And PBS’s Blueprint America series focuses on infrastructure projects around the country.

Do you think recovery funds are going to the right places? What should the government’s next step be? Take your pulse on the issue with KQED’s You Decide.

Also posted in Econstory, NPR: Local/National Collaboration, NewsHour: Economic Patchwork Map, PBS: Video, WNYC | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

To buy or not to buy

Condo for sale signs/ Credit: Flickr user Sean Drielinger

Condo for sale signs/ Credit: Flickr user Sean Drielinger

Is the housing crisis over? While it may appear that prices have hit bottom, for those caught in the mortgage crisis, the nightmare seems far from over and others are holding back while the economy remains unsteady.

Financial journalist Terri Cullen writes at Nightly Business Report that a second “double dip” in the housing crisis is all but certain:

The last time the housing industry faced the dreaded double dip was in the early 1980s, when the economy struggled through two back-to-back recessions. Today, the economy appears to have emerged from the worst recession since the Great Depression, and the housing market is being supported by a number of government policies, including a housing tax credit, increased lending by the Federal Housing Administration and historically low mortgage rates.

So it seems unlikely that another downturn in home prices would be as severe as what we’ve seen in the last two years — but I wouldn’t bet on it. All that government support is expected to wind down later this year and mortgage rates are already starting to tick higher. Meanwhile, near-record unemployment is keeping many from buying (and keeping) homes. All of these factors will put another crimp in demand.

ProPublica is trying to find those homeowners who’ve been stuck in the mortgage crisis cycle the longest. Do you know someone who’s been paying into bad loan for the better part of a year or more?

But those who are still paying mortgages, even bad ones, are far from the worst off. In New York City, families in between homeless shelters and subsidized housing are being left in limbo – there are no more federal housing vouchers to give out, as WNYC reports.

The city is trying to make changes so people can get housing, but there is a shortage:

According to the Department of Homeless Services it costs the city about $35,000 a year to house a family in a shelter, and about $13,000 a year to provide them with a housing subsidy. While extending the voucher is one fix, advocates for the poor, and elected officials want the New York City Housing Authority (NYCHA) to also provide relief by giving families vacant public housing apartments.

So with all this uncertainty, should you invest? Take the YouDecide quiz and find out for yourself. Leave your results below and tell us what you think about the housing market.

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Money moves

Last week, the “Move Your Money” campaign seemed to hit a fever pitch online, as our sister blog EconomyBeat.org reported. Starting with The Huffington Post and moving onto Twitter and Facebook, as well as various blogs, people were urging their friends to move their money into community banks, and out of the large banks that received TARP funding, in order to support Main Street over Wall Street.

This week, Seattle NPR station KUOW invited experts to respond to the Huffington Post-promoted idea, including Checkbook.org President Robert Krugoff and Rob Johnson, director of the Financial Reform Initiative.

President Obama’s small business legislation may help the Move Your Money cause, as this NewsHour report from just before Christmas found.

U.S. PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA: I think it’s fair to say that most of these community banks were not engaged in some of the hugely risky activities that helped to precipitate the financial crisis.
JUDY WOODRUFF: To ease that crisis, the administration plans to pump $30 billion into a new small business lending program. And the Fed has tried to help by holding interest rates at practically zero.

Not everyone thinks moving to smaller banks is a good idea. The Atlantic’s Derek Thompson (who wrote in support of a bank tax on big banks to boost smaller ones) spoke to an unnamed finance expert in a blog post. The expert, whom Thompson calls “Dr. Gonzo” responds:

But I definitely think the small is better thing is pretty unfounded and runs contrary to common sense, specifically considering diversification. I mean, 2008 was all about market risk and assets hitting the floor at the same time. But just because diversification didn’t work as well as it should, doesn’t mean that it’s not useful. … The small bank thing is definitely fetishized, and IMHO, not based in any objective theory or evidence. It’s just an aesthetic people like to cling to.

For more background on how local bank franchises failed, Nightly Business Report in September looked at the community bank crisis.

Also posted in Econstory, NPR: Aggregated Local News Feed, NPR: Local/National Collaboration, NewsHour: Economic Patchwork Map, PBS: Video, PRX: Public Radio Archive | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment